Climate Science is NOT Settled

A Statement by Viv Forbes, Founding Secretary of “Clexit” (Climate Exit).
31 August 2016

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For at least a decade we have been told by the UN/IPCC, by most government media and officials, by many politicians, and by the Green “charities” and their media friends that “the science is settled”. We are lectured by Hollywood stars, failed politicians and billionaire speculators that anyone who opposes the World War on Carbon Dioxide is ignorant, mischievous or supporting some hidden vested interest. We endure calls for an end to free speech for climate sceptics, smearing with derogatory terms like “denier”, and even aggressive punishments like dismissal and legal action against sceptics for speaking out. The new low is the use of anti-racketeer legislation against sceptics:

We notice the sudden and unexplained denial of pre-booked sceptic conference facilities and the steadfast refusal of alarmists to debate facts and issues.

Why are they so afraid of words? Surely this is a sign that their facts are shonky and their arguments are feeble? They fear they are losing the confidence of the public.

The tide is turning, and informed opposition is growing. It is time for the thinking media to give sceptical evidence and conclusions a fair go in the court of public opinion.

In a short time with no costly international meetings and very little publicity, Clexit has gathered the support of over 115 members in 20 countries. Please look at the list of Foundation Members and countries:

Look at the skills, qualifications, experience and wisdom of our founding members; and the many other well-qualified dissenters listed at the end. The science is not settled.

This global warming alarm started with UN sponsored groups such as the IPCC. But Clexit has members who were official IPCC reviewers but they dissented from the final public IPCC reports which were prepared by political appointees.

The climate alarm rests totally on computerised models of atmospheric physics. But Clexit has highly qualified meteorologists, physicists, astro-physicists, radiation experts, climate modellers and long-range forecasters who reject the science, maths, assumptions and forecasts of the greenhouse-driven computer models.

We are told that Earth’s climate is controlled by the gradual increase of a tiny trace of one colourless gas in the atmosphere. But Clexit has specialists who can show that the warm and cold currents in the deep and extensive oceans, the variable water vapour in the atmosphere and Earth’s changing cover of ice, snow and clouds have far more effect on weather and climate than carbon dioxide.

We are told that carbon dioxide is a pollutant. But Clexit has organic chemists, biologists, physicians, naturalists, graziers, foresters and farmers who know that extra carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is very beneficial for Earth’s biosphere – deserts are contracting, bush and forests are expanding, and crop yields are up.

We are told that sea levels are rising alarmingly. But Clexit has experts on sea level history and measurement who can prove that there is nothing unusual or alarming about current fluctuations in sea levels.

We are told that today’s climate is extreme and unusual. But Clexit has geologists and geographers who have studied eons of climate history via ice cores, stratigraphy, paleontology, deep-sea drilling, historical records, glaciers, ice sheets and landscapes and who say that climate change is normal and today’s climate is not extreme or unusual.

We are told to fear the coming global warming. But Clexit has geologists and researchers who have studied the cycles of the ice ages and the climate effects of the Milankovitch cycles in Earth’s orbit – obliquity, eccentricity and precession. They say we have passed the peak of this modern warm era and the long-term trend is now towards global cooling. We will still have short-term periods of hot and extreme weather, and some heat records may still be broken, but the 1,000 year climate averages are trending down towards the next glacial epoch of the Pleistocene Ice Age.

We are told that global warming threatens human health, and even our survival as a species, but Clexit has medical researchers who point to evidence that exposure to cold remains up to twenty times more lethal than exposure to heat. And Clexit has farmers who know that global cooling will slash food production, quickly causing hunger and starvation.

We are told repeatedly that the Great Barrier Reef is doomed by dangers that change annually – rising seas, river sediments, warm seas, ocean acidity, fertiliser run-off, coal port development, over-fishing or marauding star-fish. But Clexit has qualified members who have studied oceanography and ancient and modern corals and report that the Reef is healthy, and corals have survived far more dramatic changes in sea levels and climate in the past.

Solar cycles get no consideration in the IPCC climate models but Clexit has astro-physicists and long range weather forecasters who have demonstrated that solar and lunar cycles have big effects on Earth’s climate and weather cycles. In addition, while billions of dollars are spent fruitlessly on failed climate models and endless climate conferences, little is known about the strings of undersea volcanoes or how much geothermal heat is released from Earth’s molten interior during orogenic upheavals.

We are told that we must embrace zero-emission green energy. But Clexit has power engineers and logistics experts who say that wind and solar power cannot run modern industrial societies, modern transport or big cities except by installing massive overcapacity and gigantic transmission webs at exorbitant costs. 100% wind/solar is a recipe for blackouts and starvation. Clexit also has naturalists and conservationists who see more harm than good in extensive wind, solar and bio-fuel developments.

Finally, we are told that to save the world we need to hand powerful taxing and regulating powers to unelected officials of the United Nations. But Clexit has politicians, bureaucrats, businessmen, columnists, lawyers, army officers and bloggers who see that this political agenda will destroy the freedoms we cherish.

Many Clexit members have held very senior positions in research, industry or academia but no longer have sensitive positions, careers or incomes to protect, so are free to express honest opinions, which they have done by supporting “Clexit”.

We ask the media to give our soundly-based dissenting conclusions a fair hearing – there are two sides to most stories, but only one side is being aired.

The Clexit initiative was launched with no budget, promises or funds. So, unlike the alarmists with an agenda, those receiving rivers of government funds and those posing as tax-exempt charities, we cannot afford massive advertising costs.

We hope, in the interests of fair play, you see fit to give our valid concerns some space in the free media.

Note: The first informal meeting of many Clexit members will take place in London on Sept 8/9, 2016 at this conference (whose first booked venue had to be changed because of controversy and opposition):

Disclosure: The formation of Clexit was not prompted or supported by any industry, corporation, group or lobby nor have they had any say in our statements or conclusions.

Viv Forbes,
Secretary, Clexit

10 thoughts on “Climate Science is NOT Settled”

  1. At last.
    The people are already waking up from their media induced sleep and questioning CC “science”.
    Now is the perfect time to launch your organization.
    Even a presidential candidate in the USA is calling Climate change bogus.
    I have been a lonely voice for 20 years, trying to show through small demonstrations of real scientific fact, that the alarmists are talking crap.
    Where do I join?

  2. I wouldn’t stop at “the science is not settled.” That implies they have a leg to stand on. They do not. The real science is pretty clear: there is no AGW, and that whole movement is a charade.

  3. Alan Lindsay, what is it about Mann’s Hockey Stick and the projected rapid temperature increases that we are not having, that convinces you?

    Perhaps you still believe the Polar Bears are in peril, along with the secret runway known only to Father Christmas and his reindeer, as the Arctic ice keeps failing to disappear as predicted by experts.

    You just carry on believing what 97% of climate scientists tell you.

  4. “… anyone who opposes the World War on Carbon Dioxide is ignorant, mischievous or supporting some hidden vested interest.”

    You know, for a moment there I thought Viv Forbes, founder of Clexit, must be the same Viv Forbes who’s a director of Australian fossil fuel producers Stanmore Coal, in which case his “vested interest” would be not so much hidden as blindingly obvious. Must be a coincidence, surely?

  5. Viv, my analysis of the CAGW theory is that it crumbles to nothing if the IPCC and all their believers have got it wrong on their parameter “Climate Sensitivity” (CS). Yet it never seems to get a mention which is strange in that all the empirical evidence points that the IPCC values are far too high.
    Not too sure what the IPCC values are today as they are always amending them DOWNWARDS.
    However, I note that we are warned today by the alarmists that we must keep the value of CS below 2 deg where once it was the CS value should not exceed 2 degrees.
    As the empirical evidence (when I last looked which was some time ago) puts the CS likely value at 1- 1.5 degrees it seems the IPCC are going to get their wish even if ignore anti coal fetish.

  6. Galileo was tortured for his failure to conform to “settled science “. The more things change the more they stay the same.

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